I cannot express how wild this series is going to be; these two teams have dominated their opposition throughout the playoffs, and now their runs will culminate and a champion will be crowned. Before the playoffs started, and when both these teams were healthy, I had picked the Cavaliers to face the Warriors in the Finals and that this would be a seven game series. Even with Kevin Love out for the Cavs, and the injuries to both Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson, I still believe LeBron will avenge himself from last year and pull this one out for his third title. To help you make your own prediction, or see the overall strengths and weaknesses of both teams, I will break down the main aspects of both teams. Let’s start with the starting lineups and position matchups.
Point Guard: Steph Curry (GSW) vs Kyrie Irving (CLE)
This is the battle to watch as this series unfolds, for whoever gets the upper hand in this matchup, that team should be the favorite on a game by game basis. Having said that, Curry has been the best overall player this season, won the Most Valuable Player award, and is healthy. Irving, on the other hand, has been hampered by a knee injury and will not be 100% heading into Game 1 of the Finals. When both are healthy, their offensive games are rather similar: Both can shoot efficiently (Curry: 49/44/91, Irving: 47/42/86) with Curry having the slight advantage. In terms of ballhandling, these two could play on the Globetrotters tomorrow and no one could tell the difference. You simply cannot strip the ball from these two, but I give Irving the advantage because he’s Uncle Drew, and basketball will always be about buckets. In terms of facilitating, Curry has the distinct edge in that category, he is the best pure point guard in the game today and averaging 8 assists per game. Lastly, the defense advantage goes to Curry as he averages two steals a game, and provides constant on-ball pressure. Overall, this will be the best battle in this series, so pay close attention to this matchup.
Shooting Guard: Klay Thompson (GSW) vs. Iman Shumpert (CLE)
Let’s start with Thompson, who was last seen with blood pouring out his earlobe after a knee to the head. That is not good, but he is being re-evaluated and hopefully he will be eligible to play Game 1 in Golden State. When healthy, Thompson is the younger, slightly less prolific scorer that Curry is, but Thompson is actually the Warriors best perimeter defender (Draymond Green is a VERY close second). There is a reason the Warriors did not trade him and David Lee for Kevin Love this past offseason, and the numbers Thompson put up this season (21 PPG, 3 APG, 3 RPG, 21 PER), show that decision has paid dividends. As for Shumpert, he is the X-factor for the Cavaliers this series for he is the one who can consistently give LeBron a break by covering the best wing player (Thompson), so James can do his work on the offensive end and take a few plays off defensively. Even though J.R. Smith is most likely to start, and he is stronger offensively than Shumpert, it would be wise for Coach David Blatt to start Shumpert to gain an early defensive edge at the 2 guard.
Small Forward: Draymond Green (GSW) vs. LeBron James (CLE)
We already know LeBron is up to the challenge, he has been here before. In fact, it’s his fifth straight appearance in the NBA Finals, something that has not happened since the Celtics dynasty of the late-50s/mid-60s with Russell and Co. at the helm. So yeah, James is ready, but what about his adversary, Draymond Green. Green, who should have been Defensive Player of the Year in my opinion, has the tough draw of sticking James for this series. Now, Green is no slouch on the offensive end as he is capable on offense (he shoots 44% from the field, averages 12 PPG, and 4 APG), but his calling card is defense. Green can cover positions 1-5 at an elite level, and should cover the best player on the other side of the court (James unless he’s on the bench) anytime he is playing. Green is the X-factor for the Warriors because his play dictates the Warriors motivation on the defensive side, and if he struggles early, then the Dubs could be in trouble.
Power Forward: David Lee (GSW) vs. Tristian Thompson (CLE)
This may not be the best matchup or the most important matchup, refer to the point guard and small forward breakdowns, but this is definitely the most intriguing. Thompson has been a monster on the boards both offensively and defensively since the playoffs started and has even strengthened his inside game. Since Love was injured in the 1st Round, no one has been quietly impressive (or has earned millions on his next contract) more than Thompson. What will be interesting is how Coach Steve Kerr counters Thompson’s rebounding prowess and defensive shortcomings. He could play small and stick Harrison Barnes or Andre Iguodala on Thompson to gain an offensive edge, but would sacrifice rebounds which are crucial in close games. The other card Kerr could play is to start David Lee to oppose Thompson. Lee is a traditional power forward, he is listed at 6’9″ 240, pounds and is capable of averaging a healthy 15 PPG. Hell, just a season ago, he averaged 18 PPG, which is an all-star caliber number. Lee has the size, offensive repertoire and rebounding knack to neutralize Thompson’s strengths and broadcast his weaknesses. We will see how this battle transpires…
Center: Andrew Bogut (GSW) vs Timofey Mozgov (CLE)
This is less of a basketball face-off and more of a heavyweight boxing bout. These two behemoths are going to knock the crap out of each other in the paint, and I can’t wait to see the carnage these two unleash on their opponents. Whichever of these two comes out on top will play a giant role in who walks away a winner and a loser in this series.
Coaches: Steve Kerr (GSW) vs David Blatt (CLE)
There is only one comparison with these two coaches: This is both their first seasons as NBA head coaches. In fact, this is the first occurrence of rookie coaches squaring off in the Finals since the 46-47 NBA season. After that, the roads they each took to reach this point are the polar opposite of each other. Kerr is already a five-time NBA champion as a player, has broadcasted for TNT, and was even a general manager for the Phoenix Suns from 2007-2010. Blatt, on the other hand, has had wild success in international competition with multiple Euro championships and coaching accolades. Both fell into perfect situations for their first coaching gigs: Kerr inherited a 51-win team from Mark Jackson this past season and improved the team overall. Meanwhile, Blatt had LeBron James, and later Kevin Love, fall right into his lap. In terms of match-ups, this is probably the most 50-50 of all of them, so keep an eye on this coaching duel.
Benches: Barnes, Iguodala, Maresse Speights, and Shaun Livingston (GSW) vs Smith, Matthew Dellavedova, Shawn Marion, and James Jones (CLE)
The Warriors have one of the best-rated benches in the league, and if they want to put a stranglehold on this series, then their bench has to play to expectation. With the injuries to Love and Anderson Varejao, the Cavs bench is a little thinner than Blatt and James would like, so it is imperative for the Dubs bench to play exceptionally well to counter LeBron and Co.
Prediction: Cavs in 7
-Anthony